EYG 2019 Oscar Predictions

Best Picture

BlacKkKlansman                                           

Black Panther       

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

A Star Is Born

Vice

 

I am going with Black Panther as the surprise upset.  I really want Marvel Studios to win this award. At one point, I did not think it had a chance, but now I actually have a gut feeling.  My second pick is Roma.  

 

Best Director

Alfonso Cuarón – Roma

Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Pawel Pawlikowski – Cold War

Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

Adam McKay – Vice

Alfonso Cuarón wins this.  The Roma film is directed like crazy.  My second choice would be Spike Lee.

Best Actress                                                                                         

Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

Glenn Close – The Wife

Olivia Colman – The Favourite

Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born

Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Glenn Close is a lock for The Wife.  The movie is not that great, but Glenn is fantastic.  My back up pick is Olivia Colman.

 

Best Actor

Christian Bale – Vice

Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born

Willen Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

I am picking Rami Malek from Bohemian Rhapsody.  He was amazing as Freddie Mercury.  If Rami does not win, I would say it will be Christian Bale.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams – Vice

Marina de Tavira – Roma

Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone – The Favourite

Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Regina King is winning this one, for sure.  I do not think any other supporting actress has a chance.

 

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali – Green Book

Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman

Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born

Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sam Rockwell – Vice

Mahershala Ali wins his second consecutive best supporting actor award.  Richard E. Grant is by back-up choice.

 

Best Animated Feature

Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Mirai

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

The only pick here is Spider-man: Into the Spider-verse.  Nothing else is acceptable.

 

 

Best Original Screenplay

The Favourite – Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara

First Reformed – Paul Schrader

Green Book – Nic Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly

Vice – Adam McKay

Roma – Alfonso Cuaron

This is a category that I am not sure about winning.  I will go with Vice as my back up pick. 

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen

BlacKkKlansman – Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee

If Beale Street Could Talk – Barry Jenkins

Can You Ever Forgive Me? – Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty

A Star Is Born – Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper and Will Fetters

This is what I think goes to BlackKKlansman.  Back up pick is If Beale Street Could Talk.

Best Film Editing

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Vice

Film editing goes to Vice.  This is a wide open category.  I’ll give the back up pick being Bohemian Rhapsody.

Best Cinematography

Cold War

The Favourite

Never Look Away

Roma

A Star Is Born

Roma is a beautifully shot film. It wins here.

 

Best Original Score

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

If Beale Street Could Talk

Isle of Dogs

Mary Poppins Returns

The Black Panther score wins here.  

 

Best Original Song

“All the Stars” – Black Panther

“I’ll Fight” – RBG

“The Place Where Lost Things Go” – Mary Poppins Returns

“Shallow” – A Star Is Born

“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings” – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

I would bet just about anything that Shallow wins this award.  Nothing comes even close.  As much of a lock as any award.

 

Best Production Design

Black Panther

The Favourite

First Man

Mary Poppins Returns

Roma

The sole win for First Man.

 

Best Costume Design                 

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Black Panther

The Favourite

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary Queen of Scots

I think Black Panther should win, but I am afraid that the Academy will give this to The Favourite.

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Border

Mary Queen of Scots

Vice

Vice made Christian Bale look like Dick Cheney.  Easy winner here.  

 

Best Visual Effects

Avengers: Infinity War

Christopher Robin

First Man

Ready Player One

Solo: A Star Wars Story

This may be the official first Academy Award for Marvel Studios.  Avengers Infinity War’s Thanos is one of the best CGI character of all time.

 

Best Sound Editing

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

A Quiet Place

Roma

This is the only nom for A Quiet Place and it really deserves it.  

 

Best Sound Mixing

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

Roma

A Star Is Born

Live Aid.  Bohemian Rhapsody is this winner.  

 

Best Documentary Feature

Free Solo

Hale County, This Morning This Evening

Minding the Gap

Of Fathers and Sons

RBG

Where the HELL is Won’t You Be My Neighbor!!!!  Or even Three Identical Strangers!!!  ##$%^^&&**(((&^%$##.  Free Solo is okay and is gonna win.  I will cheer for RBG. 

 

Best Documentary Short Subject

Black Sheep

End Game

Lifeboat

A Night at the Garden

Period. End of Sentence.

Uh… did not see any of these.  I’ll pick End Game.  20% chance…

 

Best Foreign Language Film               

Capernaum – Lebanon

Cold War – Poland

Never Look Away – Germany

Roma – Mexico

Shoplifters – Japan

Duh.  Roma wins easily.

 

Best Short Film – Live Action

Detainment

Fauve

Marguerite

Mother

Skin

Detainment was really good.  Mother has a real chance.

 

Best Animated Short Film

Animal Behavior

Bao

Late Afternoon

One Small Step

Weekends

I do not like Bao, but it is winning this category because, you know, Pixar/Disney.  Not impressed by any of these.

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